Statistical ENSO forecast model based on the ocean and atmosphere conditions

A simple linear-regression ENSO forecast model is developed based on the ocean and atmosphere conditions, See An ENSO prediction approach based on ocean conditions and ocean-atmosphere coupling (2017) Clim. Dyn. 48, 2025-2044. for further details

Forecasts starts from 2018 April

2018 [Apr] [May] [Jun] [Jul] [Aug] [Sep] [Oct] [Nov] [Dec]

8-month and 6-month Nino3.4 SST anomaly forecast

The forecasted Nino3.4 SST anomaly based on the GODAS data forecasted from 2016 April

The forecasted Nino3.4 SST anomaly based on the GODAS data from 1981

9-month Nino3.4 SST anomaly forecast

The forecasted Nino3.4 SST anomaly based on the GODAS data forecasted from 2016 April (6-month to 11-month)

The forecasted Nino3.4 SST anomaly based on the GODAS data from 1981 (6-month to 11-month)